Abstract
Objectives:: A massive blood transfusion (MBT) is an unexpected event that may impact mortality. Neurosurgical operations are a major operation involving the vital structures and risk to bleeding. The aims of the present research were (1) to develop a nomogram to predict MBT and (2) to estimate the association between MBT and mortality in neurosurgical operations. Material and Method:: We conducted a retrospective cohort study including 3660 patients who had undergone neurosurgical operations. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to test the association between clinical factors, pre-operative hematological laboratories, and MBT. A nomogram was developed based on the independent predictors. Results:: The predictive model comprised five predictors as follows: Age group, traumatic brain injury, craniectomy operation, pre-operative hematocrit, and pre-operative international normalized ratio and the good calibration were observed in the predictive model. The concordance statistic index was 0.703. Therefore, the optimism-corrected c-index values of cross-validation and bootstrapping were 0.703 and 0.703, respectively. Conclusion:: MBT is an unexpectedly fatal event that should be considered for appropriate preparation blood components. Further, this nomogram can be implemented for allocation in limited-resource situations in the future.
Copyright
Association for Helping Neurosurgical Sick People. This is an open access article published by Thieme under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-Non Derivative-Non Commercial License, permitting copying and reproduction so long as the original work is given appropriate credit.
Contents may not be used for commercial purposes, or adapted, remixed, transformed or built upon. (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/)
This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-Non Commercial-No Derivatives License, which permits unrestricted reproduction and distribution, for non-commercial purposes only; and use and reproduction, but not distribution, of adapted material for non-commercial purposes only, provided the original work is properly cited.
